Langhus kunstgress · Analysis updated 13:01 UTC
Follo vs Eidsvold Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Follo and 2.60 for Eidsvold, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Eidsvold the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eidsvold win
74.9% probability
Expected goals
0.85 – 2.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Follo home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eidsvold away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
25%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.7%
- 0–39.3%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–37.9%
Recent form
Follo
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Stjørdals-Blink · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sarpsborg 08 FF · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kjelsås · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eidsvold · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Levanger · 2-5 (L)
Eidsvold
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rana · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trygg/Lade · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Follo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongsvinger · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ull/Kisa · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-09T12:00:00.000Z · Follo 1-4 Eidsvold (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2025-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · Follo 1-1 Eidsvold (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2025-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · Follo 1-2 Eidsvold (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2025-03-15T12:30:00.000Z · Follo 2-5 Eidsvold (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-08-10T12:00:00.000Z · Follo 2-4 Eidsvold (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-05-20T13:00:00.000Z · Follo 0-2 Eidsvold (2. Division - Group 2)
2. Division - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Levanger | 24 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Hønefoss | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 49 |
| 5 | Grorud | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Stjørdals-Blink | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | Tromsdalen Uil | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Lørenskog | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Follo | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -21 | 17 |
| 13 | Ull/Kisa | 24 | 4 | 1 | 19 | -48 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | -30 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eidsvold win, at 74.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.