· Analysis updated 23:46 UTC
Foresters vs Wiliete Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.80 expected goals for Foresters and 1.64 for Wiliete, a combined total of 2.44. That distribution gives Wiliete the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wiliete win
57.2% probability
Expected goals
0.80 – 1.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Foresters home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Wiliete away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wiliete to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 18% / 25% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.80 goals for Foresters and 1.64 for Wiliete, a combined 2.44 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.3%
- 0–211.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–08.8%
Recent form
Foresters
- 2026-09-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiliete · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wiliete · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs 15 de Agosto · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 15 de Agosto · 1-0 (W)
- 2024-08-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Orapa United · 0-2 (L)
Wiliete
- 2026-09-20T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Recreativo do Libolo · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Luanda · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Foresters · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Foresters · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Desportivo Huíla · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wiliete win, at 57.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.