Station Park · Analysis updated 07:10 UTC
Forfar Athletic vs Annan Athletic Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.33 for Annan Athletic, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives Annan Athletic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Forfar Athletic home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Annan Athletic away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–28.6%
Recent form
Forfar Athletic
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Formartine United · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dundee United II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Peterhead · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Annan Athletic · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartans · 1-5 (L)
Annan Athletic
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Clyde · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Alloa Athletic · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stranraer · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stirling Albion · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hibernian U21 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 1-0 Annan Athletic (League Two)
- 2026-05-02T14:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 1-1 Annan Athletic (League Two)
- 2026-02-21T15:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 2-1 Annan Athletic (League Two)
- 2025-12-13T15:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 1-3 Annan Athletic (League Two)
- 2025-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 1-0 Annan Athletic (League Two)
- 2025-07-12T14:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 1-1 Annan Athletic (League Cup)
- 2023-03-18T15:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 2-1 Annan Athletic (League Two)
- 2023-01-07T15:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 2-0 Annan Athletic (League Two)
- 2022-11-05T15:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 1-4 Annan Athletic (League Two)
- 2022-09-03T14:00:00.000Z · Forfar Athletic 1-2 Annan Athletic (League Two)
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Clyde | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Spartans | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 7 | Stirling Albion | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Forfar Athletic | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.