· Analysis updated 16:12 UTC
Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Büderich Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.94 expected goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 0.90 for Büderich, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Fortuna Düsseldorf II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fortuna Düsseldorf II win
78.6% probability
Expected goals
2.94 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fortuna Düsseldorf II home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Büderich away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fortuna Düsseldorf II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 13% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.94 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 0.90 for Büderich, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
21%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.2%
- 3–09.1%
- 2–18.4%
- 3–18.2%
- 4–06.7%
Recent form
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
- 2026-10-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs BW Dingden · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Büderich · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Schonnebeck · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Germania Ratingen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wuppertaler SV · 1-1 (D)
Büderich
- 2026-10-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs SF Baumberg · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Holzheimer SG · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs SC St. Tönis · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs BW Dingden · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-2 Büderich (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2025-01-15T17:30:00.000Z · Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3-0 Büderich (Friendlies Clubs)
Oberliga - Niederrhein table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schonnebeck | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 26 |
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | SC St. Tönis | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Sonsbeck | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | SF Baumberg | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | BW Dingden | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Monheim | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Solingen-Wald | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
| 11 | Germania Ratingen | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 12 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Wuppertaler SV | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 14 | Scherpenberg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Büderich | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | SW Essen | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
| 17 | Meerbusch | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | Holzheimer SG | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fortuna Düsseldorf II win, at 78.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.