· Analysis updated 11:02 UTC
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Osnabrück U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 and 0.75 for Osnabrück U19, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 win
59.5% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Osnabrück U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 24% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 and 0.75 for Osnabrück U19, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.8%
- 2–012.4%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.8%
Recent form
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
Osnabrück U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Oberhausen U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Schalke 04 U19 · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 win, at 59.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.