· Analysis updated 07:40 UTC
Fortuna Hjørring W vs Hajduk Split W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Fortuna Hjørring W and 1.19 for Hajduk Split W, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Fortuna Hjørring W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fortuna Hjørring W win
45.9% probability
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.19
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fortuna Hjørring W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fortuna Hjørring W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 25% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.56 goals for Fortuna Hjørring W and 1.19 for Hajduk Split W, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.6%
Recent form
Fortuna Hjørring W
- 2026-10-04T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Odense Q W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PSV/Eindhoven W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordsjælland W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs PSV/Eindhoven W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 0-4 (L)
Hajduk Split W
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T09:00:00.000Z · A vs ŽNK Mura W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fortuna Hjørring W win, at 45.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.