· Analysis updated 01:51 UTC
Fortuna Köln U19 vs Darmstadt 98 U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Fortuna Köln U19 and 2.53 for Darmstadt 98 U19, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Darmstadt 98 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Darmstadt 98 U19 win
59.8% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 2.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fortuna Köln U19 home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Darmstadt 98 U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Darmstadt 98 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 22% / 18% / 60% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Fortuna Köln U19 and 2.53 for Darmstadt 98 U19, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.5%
- 1–37.2%
- 1–16.8%
- 2–26.4%
- 0–25.7%
Recent form
Fortuna Köln U19
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaiserslautern U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Köln U19 · 1-5 (L)
Darmstadt 98 U19
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Darmstadt 98 U19 win, at 59.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.