· Analysis updated 07:16 UTC
Fortune Sacco vs Kisumu All Stars Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Fortune Sacco and 1.10 for Kisumu All Stars, a combined total of 2.49. That distribution gives Fortune Sacco the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.2% probability
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fortune Sacco home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Kisumu All Stars away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fortune Sacco to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 27% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Fortune Sacco and 1.10 for Kisumu All Stars, a combined 2.49 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–08.3%
Recent form
Fortune Sacco
- 2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs MCF · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gucha Stars · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nzoia Sugar · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Equity Bank · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Talanta · 3-4 (L)
Kisumu All Stars
- 2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Vihiga United FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Darajani Gogo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Migori Youth · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Soy United · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs MOFA · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sofapaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nairobi City Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kariobangi Sharks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Nzoia Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Naivas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Kibera Black Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Talanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Kisumu All Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Fortune Sacco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Soy United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Equity Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Luanda Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | MOFA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Kibera Soccer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Kabati Youth FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Gucha Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Mfalme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Kiminini Combined | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | BB FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Spitfire FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.