· Analysis updated 08:46 UTC
Forward vs Sleipner Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Forward and 1.93 for Sleipner, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Sleipner the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.5% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Forward home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sleipner away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sleipner to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 34% / 22% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Forward and 1.93 for Sleipner, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–35.5%
Recent form
Forward
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlslund · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lindo FF · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fittja · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Smedby · 1-3 (L)
Sleipner
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Smedby · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fittja · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Forward · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Syrianska FC · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Södra Svealand table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farsta | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | Sleipner | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 51 |
| 3 | Nyköping | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 46 |
| 4 | Forward | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 45 |
| 5 | Rågsved | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Haninge | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | Smedby | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | Fittja | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Örebro Syrianska | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 34 |
| 10 | Karlslund | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Nacka Iliria | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | -16 | 30 |
| 12 | Syrianska FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Lindo FF | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | -20 | 20 |
| 14 | Eker Örebro | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | -43 | 18 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.