Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Södra Svealand - 1711:00
ForwardDLDDW

5 – 0

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Syrianska FCWLLWL

· Analysis updated 07:37 UTC

Forward vs Syrianska FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.61 expected goals for Forward and 1.18 for Syrianska FC, a combined total of 3.79. That distribution gives Forward the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Forward win

68.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.61 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Forward home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Forward to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 17% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.61 goals for Forward and 1.18 for Syrianska FC, a combined 3.79 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 64%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Forward win68%
Draw17%
Syrianska FC win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 2–19.1%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–17.0%
  • 3–06.7%

Recent form

Forward

  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlslund · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lindo FF · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fittja · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Smedby · 1-3 (L)

Syrianska FC

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 2 - Södra Svealand table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Farsta2616462552
    2Sleipner2615651951
    3Nyköping2614481646
    4Forward2613671545
    5Rågsved2613671145
    6Haninge2613581244
    7Smedby2610610336
    8Fittja2611312036
    9Örebro Syrianska2610412134
    10Karlslund268711-631
    11Nacka Iliria269314-1630
    12Syrianska FC267514-1726
    13Lindo FF266218-2020
    14Eker Örebro265318-4318

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Forward win, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

    A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.