· Analysis updated 16:08 UTC
Francs Borains vs Crossing Schaerbeek Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.25 expected goals for Francs Borains and 1.68 for Crossing Schaerbeek, a combined total of 5.93. That distribution gives Francs Borains the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Francs Borains win
80.0% probability
Expected goals
4.25 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Francs Borains home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Crossing Schaerbeek away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Francs Borains to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 10% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.25 goals for Francs Borains and 1.68 for Crossing Schaerbeek, a combined 5.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.1%
- 3–15.7%
- 5–15.2%
- 4–25.1%
- 3–24.8%
Recent form
Francs Borains
- 2026-08-23T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Hasselt · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Liège · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Feignies-Aulnoye · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-23T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tubize · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs KAA Gent II · 2-3 (L)
Crossing Schaerbeek
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Verviers · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Huy · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Beerschot VA · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Richelle United · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ganshoren · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Francs Borains win, at 80.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.