Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand - 2012:30
FrankeLWDLD

12:30 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

GuteLLWLL

· Analysis updated 02:19 UTC

Franke vs Gute Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for Franke and 1.32 for Gute, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives Franke the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Franke to Win

52.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Franke win53%
Draw22%
Gute win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–26.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Franke to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.97 goals for Franke and 1.32 for Gute, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

  • Model confidence

    Franke to Win is the headline pick at 53% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Franke

    Gute

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Division 2 - Norra Svealand table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Sunnersta1611413137
      2Angby1710521135
      3Skiljebo1610421934
      4Falu BS17944831
      5Täby169341530
      6Enskede16835527
      7Bollstanäs17674725
      8Franke17647322
      9Gute17557-420
      10Viggbyholms IK174310-1615
      11Lidingö17359-1314
      12Kungsängen17188-1311
      13Korsnäs162311-239
      14Helges162212-308

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.