· Analysis updated 14:49 UTC
Franke vs Viggbyholms IK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Franke and 1.07 for Viggbyholms IK, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Franke the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Franke win
65.6% probability
Expected goals
2.33 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Franke home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viggbyholms IK away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Franke to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 19% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.33 goals for Franke and 1.07 for Viggbyholms IK, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 1–18.3%
- 1–07.8%
- 3–17.5%
Recent form
Franke
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Korsnäs · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kungsängen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sunnersta · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Angby · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Gute · 1-0 (W)
Viggbyholms IK
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Korsnäs · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Helges · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gute · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Falu BS · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Enskede · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Norra Svealand table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skiljebo | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 56 |
| 2 | Sunnersta | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 53 |
| 3 | Enskede | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 52 |
| 4 | Angby | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 51 |
| 5 | Falu BS | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Täby | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 41 |
| 7 | Franke | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 34 |
| 8 | Gute | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Bollstanäs | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Kungsängen | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Lidingö | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -25 | 23 |
| 12 | Viggbyholms IK | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -24 | 22 |
| 13 | Korsnäs | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -38 | 14 |
| 14 | Helges | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | -49 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Franke win, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.