Scotland · Football League - Highland League · Highland League - 814:00
FraserburghWDLDW

2 – 2

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 13:50 UTC

Fraserburgh vs Clachnacuddin Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Fraserburgh and 1.80 for Clachnacuddin, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Clachnacuddin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Clachnacuddin win

47.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Fraserburgh home form

    8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Clachnacuddin away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Clachnacuddin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 30% / 23% / 48% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.38 goals for Fraserburgh and 1.80 for Clachnacuddin, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Fraserburgh win30%
Draw23%
Clachnacuddin win48%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 0–26.8%

Recent form

Fraserburgh

  • 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Elgin City · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Deveronvale · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Clachnacuddin · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-25T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Aberdeen U21 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lossiemouth · 4-0 (W)

Clachnacuddin

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Celtic II · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Ross County · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Deveronvale · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Inverurie Loco Works · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Formartine United · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Football League - Highland League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brora Rangers1210203832
2Inverurie Loco Works13751926
3Formartine United12642722
4Fraserburgh116321421
5Strathspey Thistle13625820
6Forres Mechanics12624620
7Buckie Thistle116141419
8Banks O' Dee12543419
9Clachnacuddin114521317
10Turriff United12516-116
11Huntly12435315
12Nairn County12354-314
13Lossiemouth12426-1014
14Deveronvale12336-412
15Keith12336-1112
16Invergordon12318-2010
17Wick Academy122010-236
18Rothes111010-443

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Clachnacuddin win, at 47.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.