· Analysis updated 13:50 UTC
Fraserburgh vs Clachnacuddin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Fraserburgh and 1.80 for Clachnacuddin, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Clachnacuddin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Clachnacuddin win
47.6% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fraserburgh home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Clachnacuddin away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Clachnacuddin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 30% / 23% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Fraserburgh and 1.80 for Clachnacuddin, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–17.1%
- 0–26.8%
Recent form
Fraserburgh
- 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Elgin City · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Deveronvale · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Clachnacuddin · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-25T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Aberdeen U21 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lossiemouth · 4-0 (W)
Clachnacuddin
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Celtic II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Ross County · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Deveronvale · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Inverurie Loco Works · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Formartine United · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Football League - Highland League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 32 |
| 2 | Inverurie Loco Works | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Formartine United | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Strathspey Thistle | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Forres Mechanics | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Buckie Thistle | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 19 |
| 8 | Banks O' Dee | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Clachnacuddin | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Turriff United | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Huntly | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Nairn County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Lossiemouth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 | Deveronvale | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Keith | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Invergordon | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -20 | 10 |
| 17 | Wick Academy | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -23 | 6 |
| 18 | Rothes | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -44 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Clachnacuddin win, at 47.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.