Frechen vs Chlodwig Zulpich Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.27 expected goals for Frechen and 2.03 for Chlodwig Zulpich, a combined total of 5.30. That distribution gives Frechen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Frechen win

62.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.27 – 2.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Frechen home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Frechen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 16% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.27 goals for Frechen and 2.03 for Chlodwig Zulpich, a combined 5.30 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 83%, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Match result (1X2)

Frechen win62%

Draw16%

Chlodwig Zulpich win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals89%

Over 3.5 goals77%

Both teams to score83%

Correct score

3–26.0%
3–15.9%
2–25.5%
2–15.4%
4–24.9%

Recent form

Frechen

2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Hohkeppel · 5-3 (W)
2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Bornheim · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-11T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Hürth · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Vichttal · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind · 2-2 (D)

Chlodwig Zulpich

2026-09-27T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Hürth · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Vichttal · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-06T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Siegburger SV · 5-2 (W)
2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Frechen · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Mittelrhein table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wegberg-Beeck	9	7	1	1	12	22
2	SSV Merten	9	6	1	2	18	19
3	Eintracht Hohkeppel	9	5	2	2	8	17
4	Frechen	9	5	2	2	4	17
5	Düren Merzenich	9	5	1	3	2	16
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	9	4	3	2	1	15
7	Fortuna Köln II	8	4	1	3	4	13
8	VfL Vichttal	9	3	3	3	7	12
9	Bornheim	9	4	0	5	0	12
10	Siegburger SV	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Hürth	9	2	4	3	-4	10
12	Chlodwig Zulpich	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Hennef 05	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	TuS BW Königsdorf	8	2	0	6	-23	6
15	Porz	9	1	2	6	-7	5
16	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	9	1	2	6	-10	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Frechen win, at 62.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.