· Analysis updated 14:20 UTC
Freiburg U19 vs Jahn Regensburg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Freiburg U19 and 1.65 for Jahn Regensburg U19, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Freiburg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.9% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Freiburg U19 home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Jahn Regensburg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Freiburg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 23% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Freiburg U19 and 1.65 for Jahn Regensburg U19, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–05.9%
Recent form
Freiburg U19
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Augsburg U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 1-1 (D)
Jahn Regensburg U19
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Unterhaching U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs 1860 München U19 · 2-8 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.