· Analysis updated 19:57 UTC
Freiburg U19 vs Sandhausen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Freiburg U19 and 1.41 for Sandhausen U19, a combined total of 3.92. That distribution gives Freiburg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Freiburg U19 win
61.4% probability
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Freiburg U19 home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Sandhausen U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.4%
- 1–17.0%
- 2–06.2%
- 2–26.2%
Recent form
Freiburg U19
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulm U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 2-2 (D)
Sandhausen U19
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 3-6 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 1-0 Sandhausen U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2025-05-04T14:30:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 3-1 Sandhausen U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2025-03-01T12:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 2-2 Sandhausen U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2024-10-26T11:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 1-2 Sandhausen U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2024-08-14T14:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 2-0 Sandhausen U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Freiburg U19 win, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.