· Analysis updated 20:18 UTC
Freiburg U19 vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.08 expected goals for Freiburg U19 and 1.78 for Stuttgarter K'rs U19, a combined total of 4.85. That distribution gives Freiburg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Freiburg U19 win
63.8% probability
Expected goals
3.08 – 1.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Freiburg U19 home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Stuttgarter K'rs U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.7%
- 2–16.6%
- 3–26.0%
- 2–25.8%
- 4–15.2%
Recent form
Freiburg U19
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulm U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 2-2 (D)
Stuttgarter K'rs U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Augsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 0-9 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2025-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 4-2 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2025-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 4-2 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2024-11-30T12:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 1-3 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2024-09-15T12:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 1-1 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2022-02-26T12:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 1-2 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2019-05-05T11:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 4-2 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2018-11-25T12:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 3-1 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2017-04-01T10:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 2-1 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2016-10-22T12:00:00.000Z · Freiburg U19 1-0 Stuttgarter K'rs U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Freiburg U19 win, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.