Valby Idraetspark · Analysis updated 14:47 UTC
Frem vs Ishøj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Frem and 1.65 for Ishøj, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Ishøj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.7% probability
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Frem home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Ishøj away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 0–16.4%
Recent form
Frem
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brønshøj · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sundby · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ishøj · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Holstebro · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-2 (L)
Ishøj
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ringsted · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Holstebro · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vanløse · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · Frem 2-3 Ishøj (3. Division)
- 2026-07-21T16:30:00.000Z · Frem 3-2 Ishøj (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-01-17T11:00:00.000Z · Frem 1-1 Ishøj (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-06-14T12:00:00.000Z · Frem 1-1 Ishøj (2. Division)
- 2025-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · Frem 0-3 Ishøj (2. Division)
- 2025-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · Frem 0-2 Ishøj (2. Division)
- 2025-01-11T11:00:00.000Z · Frem 1-2 Ishøj (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-10-05T12:00:00.000Z · Frem 1-2 Ishøj (2. Division)
- 2024-05-18T12:00:00.000Z · Frem 4-2 Ishøj (3. Division)
- 2024-04-27T11:00:00.000Z · Frem 1-1 Ishøj (3. Division)
3. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Brønshøj | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Helsingor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Næsby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 | Frem | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Ishøj | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 11 | Sundby | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Ringsted | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.