· Analysis updated 02:40 UTC
Fremad Amager vs Thisted FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Fremad Amager and 1.16 for Thisted FC, a combined total of 3.26. That distribution gives Fremad Amager the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.
Model pick
Fremad Amager to Win
58.8% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.16
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–08.4%
- 1–08.1%
- 3–16.9%
Why the model likes this
Thisted FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fremad Amager to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.16 for Thisted FC, a combined 3.26 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Fremad Amager
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Frem · 0-1 (L)
Thisted FC
- 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Aabybro · 9-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Middelfart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | Nykobing FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Roskilde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Naestved | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Fremad Amager | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | HIK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Skive | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | FA 2000 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | B 93 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Brabrand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.