· Analysis updated 13:17 UTC
Frydek-Mistek B vs Hlučín Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Frydek-Mistek B and 2.50 for Hlučín, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Hlučín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hlučín win
71.7% probability
Expected goals
0.93 – 2.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Frydek-Mistek B home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hlučín away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hlučín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 12% / 16% / 72% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.93 goals for Frydek-Mistek B and 2.50 for Hlučín, a combined 3.43 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
28%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–38.5%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–37.8%
Recent form
Frydek-Mistek B
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zabreh · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Opava II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Frýdlant · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Valašské Meziříčí · 2-4 (L)
Hlučín
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nový Jičín · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pustá Polom · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Valašské Meziříčí · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Bílovec · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Kravare | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Opava II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Stonava | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Valašské Meziříčí | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Zabreh | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Frydek-Mistek B | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Pustá Polom | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -30 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hlučín win, at 71.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.