· Analysis updated 14:29 UTC
Frýdlant vs Opava Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Frýdlant and 2.48 for Opava, a combined total of 4.06. That distribution gives Opava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Opava win
57.5% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 2.48
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Frýdlant home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Opava away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Opava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 24% / 19% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Frýdlant and 2.48 for Opava, a combined 4.06 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.4%
- 1–36.9%
- 1–16.7%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–35.5%
Recent form
Frýdlant
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Valašské Meziříčí · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Frydek-Mistek B · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Rýmařov · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Vratimov · 1-2 (L)
Opava
- 2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Hanácká · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Třinec · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Opava win, at 57.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.