· Analysis updated 06:34 UTC
Frýdlant vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Frýdlant and 2.14 for Zbrojovka Brno, a combined total of 3.67. That distribution gives Zbrojovka Brno the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Zbrojovka Brno win
51.6% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 2.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Frýdlant home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zbrojovka Brno away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zbrojovka Brno to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 28% / 21% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Frýdlant and 2.14 for Zbrojovka Brno, a combined 3.67 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.9%
- 1–18.3%
- 2–26.8%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–36.4%
Recent form
Frýdlant
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Hlučín · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Valašské Meziříčí · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Frydek-Mistek B · 1-5 (L)
Zbrojovka Brno
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Jablonec · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Skalica · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mlada Boleslav · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Zbrojovka Brno win, at 51.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.