· Analysis updated 15:35 UTC
FS Třebíč vs Znojmo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.22 expected goals for FS Třebíč and 1.69 for Znojmo, a combined total of 2.91. That distribution gives Znojmo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Znojmo win
48.3% probability
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.69
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FS Třebíč home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Znojmo away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Znojmo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 28% / 24% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.22 goals for FS Třebíč and 1.69 for Znojmo, a combined 2.91 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–27.8%
- 2–16.9%
Recent form
FS Třebíč
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Tasovice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Havlíčkův Brod · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Znojmo · 1-6 (L)
Znojmo
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Humpolec · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Velká Bíteš · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Chotebor · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Žďár nad Sázavou · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 6-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velká Bíteš | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Tatran Bohunice | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Kuřim | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Havlíčkův Brod | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Sparta Brno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | FS Třebíč | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | Znojmo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Pelhřimov | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Sokol Tasovice | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Bystrc Kníničky | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Humpolec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Chotebor | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 | Velké Meziříčí | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Bedrichov | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -21 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Znojmo win, at 48.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.