· Analysis updated 00:07 UTC
FSV Babelsberg W vs Buntentor W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for FSV Babelsberg W and 1.38 for Buntentor W, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives FSV Babelsberg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FSV Babelsberg W win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.38
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FSV Babelsberg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 21% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.03 goals for FSV Babelsberg W and 1.38 for Buntentor W, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 65%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 53% with low confidence, from a data-quality score of 38/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.2%
- 2–06.8%
- 1–06.7%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
FSV Babelsberg W
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Buntentor W · 1-1 (D)
Buntentor W
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg W · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Blau Weiss Berolina Mitte W · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Wolfsburg W · 0-11 (L)
- 2025-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Babelsberg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2024-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC W · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FSV Babelsberg W win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.