· Analysis updated 20:48 UTC
FSV Babelsberg W vs Turbine Potsdam W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for FSV Babelsberg W and 1.35 for Turbine Potsdam W, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives FSV Babelsberg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.5% probability
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Turbine Potsdam W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FSV Babelsberg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 25% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.47 goals for FSV Babelsberg W and 1.35 for Turbine Potsdam W, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–28.0%
Recent form
FSV Babelsberg W
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-4 (L)
- 2025-08-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Buntentor W · 1-1 (D)
Turbine Potsdam W
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Berlin W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Babelsberg W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.