Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:00

2 – 4

Sunday, 6 September 2026

· Analysis updated 15:12 UTC

FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Kaiserslautern U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for FSV Frankfurt U19 and 1.60 for Kaiserslautern U19, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives FSV Frankfurt U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • FSV Frankfurt U19 home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FSV Frankfurt U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 23% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.67 goals for FSV Frankfurt U19 and 1.60 for Kaiserslautern U19, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

FSV Frankfurt U19 win40%
Draw23%
Kaiserslautern U19 win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.3%

Recent form

FSV Frankfurt U19

  • 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Osnabrück U19 · 1-0 (W)

Kaiserslautern U19

  • 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T12:05:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig U19 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.