· Analysis updated 12:32 UTC
FSV Frankfurt U19 vs RW Oberhausen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for FSV Frankfurt U19 and 1.55 for RW Oberhausen U19, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives FSV Frankfurt U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.3% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FSV Frankfurt U19 home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
RW Oberhausen U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FSV Frankfurt U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 24% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for FSV Frankfurt U19 and 1.55 for RW Oberhausen U19, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–06.8%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
FSV Frankfurt U19
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Osnabrück U19 · 1-0 (W)
RW Oberhausen U19
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Schalke 04 U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.