· Analysis updated 14:52 UTC
FSV Frankfurt vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for FSV Frankfurt and 2.20 for Eintracht Frankfurt, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankfurt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.8% probability
Expected goals
2.05 – 2.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FSV Frankfurt home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Frankfurt away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Frankfurt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 37% / 20% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 2.20 for Eintracht Frankfurt, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–16.6%
- 1–16.4%
- 2–35.3%
Recent form
FSV Frankfurt
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter Kickers · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Ulm 1846 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hessen Kassel · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Offenbach · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 2-2 (D)
Eintracht Frankfurt
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SC Freiburg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FSV Mainz 05 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Augsburg · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.