· Analysis updated 13:40 UTC
FSV Frankfurt vs Köln II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.85 expected goals for FSV Frankfurt and 2.40 for Köln II, a combined total of 5.25. That distribution gives FSV Frankfurt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FSV Frankfurt win
48.7% probability
Expected goals
2.85 – 2.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FSV Frankfurt home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Köln II away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FSV Frankfurt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 18% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.85 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 2.40 for Köln II, a combined 5.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.1%
- 3–25.8%
- 2–15.1%
- 2–34.9%
- 3–14.9%
Recent form
FSV Frankfurt
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter Kickers · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Ulm 1846 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hessen Kassel · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Offenbach · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 2-2 (D)
Köln II
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Westfalia Rhynern · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bergisch Gladbach · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Bonner SC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum II · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportfreunde Lotte · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 2-1 Köln II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-06-28T12:00:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 4-6 Köln II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-07-20T12:00:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 3-1 Köln II (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FSV Frankfurt win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.