PSD Bank Arena · Analysis updated 20:57 UTC
FSV Frankfurt vs SV Sandhausen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for FSV Frankfurt and 1.35 for SV Sandhausen, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives FSV Frankfurt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FSV Frankfurt win
48.1% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FSV Frankfurt home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SV Sandhausen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–07.7%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.9%
Recent form
FSV Frankfurt
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Trier · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaiserslautern II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Sandhausen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfR Aalen · 1-4 (L)
SV Sandhausen
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VfR Aalen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kickers Offenbach · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kaiserslautern II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Astoria Walldorf · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-07T13:00:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 3-1 SV Sandhausen (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-11-21T18:00:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 1-0 SV Sandhausen (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2025-08-01T17:00:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 2-1 SV Sandhausen (Regionalliga - SudWest)
- 2016-04-24T11:30:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 0-1 SV Sandhausen (2. Bundesliga)
- 2015-11-06T17:30:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 0-1 SV Sandhausen (2. Bundesliga)
- 2015-03-20T17:30:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 1-1 SV Sandhausen (2. Bundesliga)
- 2014-10-05T11:30:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 3-0 SV Sandhausen (2. Bundesliga)
- 2014-04-13T11:30:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 0-3 SV Sandhausen (2. Bundesliga)
- 2013-11-03T12:30:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 0-2 SV Sandhausen (2. Bundesliga)
- 2012-12-07T17:00:00.000Z · FSV Frankfurt 3-1 SV Sandhausen (2. Bundesliga)
Regionalliga - SudWest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Eintracht Trier | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Kickers Offenbach | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | SV Sandhausen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Freiburg II | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | TSV Steinbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | FSV Frankfurt | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Kaiserslautern II | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 11 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FSV Frankfurt win, at 48.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.