· Analysis updated 14:27 UTC
Fügen vs Röthis Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Fügen and 2.19 for Röthis, a combined total of 4.22. That distribution gives Röthis the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.2% probability
Expected goals
2.02 – 2.19
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Fügen home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Röthis away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Röthis to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 37% / 20% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for Fügen and 2.19 for Röthis, a combined 4.22 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–16.6%
- 1–16.5%
- 2–35.3%
Recent form
Fügen
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lochau · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs SK St. Johann · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfurt · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Swarovski Tirol II · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SVG Reichenau · 2-2 (D)
Röthis
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SK St. Johann · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfurt · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Swarovski Tirol II · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SVG Reichenau · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dornbirn · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hohenems | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Imst | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Schwaz | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Dornbirn | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Kitzbühel | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Swarovski Tirol II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | SK St. Johann | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Röthis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Fügen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 | SVG Reichenau | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Lochau | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kufstein | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Lauterach | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Lustenau | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -19 | 7 |
| 15 | Rheindorf Altach II | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Wolfurt | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -19 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.