France · National 2 - Group A · Group A - 1217:00

17:00 UTC

Saturday, 12 December 2026

· Analysis updated 17:39 UTC

Furiani-Agliani vs Racing Colombes 92 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Furiani-Agliani and 1.09 for Racing Colombes 92, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives Furiani-Agliani the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Furiani-Agliani win

46.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Furiani-Agliani home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Racing Colombes 92 away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Furiani-Agliani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 26% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Furiani-Agliani and 1.09 for Racing Colombes 92, a combined 2.57 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Furiani-Agliani win46%
Draw26%
Racing Colombes 92 win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–08.3%

Recent form

Furiani-Agliani

  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Haguenau · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Epinal · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Chantilly · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Montlouis · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dieppe · 1-1 (D)

Racing Colombes 92

  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Colmar · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs St Maur Lusitanos · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bastia-Borgo · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Haguenau · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National 2 - Group A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1St Maur Lusitanos7430515
2Chambly Thelle FC7502615
3Creteil7421514
4Racing Colombes 927421514
5Furiani-Agliani7421814
6Feignies-Aulnoye7340313
7Biesheim7322511
8Dieppe723209
9Le Pays du Valois722318
10Bastia-Borgo7223-18
11Haguenau7214-37
12Montlouis7133-66
13Epinal7124-25
14Colmar7124-85
15St-Pryvé St-Hilaire6033-33
16Chantilly6015-151

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Furiani-Agliani win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.