Stade Prince Moulay Hassan · Referee M. Jamlaoui · Analysis updated 07:52 UTC
FUS Rabat vs Renaissance Berkane Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.80 expected goals for FUS Rabat and 1.13 for Renaissance Berkane, a combined total of 1.93. That distribution gives Renaissance Berkane the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
74.1% probability
Expected goals
0.80 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Renaissance Berkane away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Renaissance Berkane to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 26% / 31% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.80 goals for FUS Rabat and 1.13 for Renaissance Berkane, a combined 1.93 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 37%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–116.4%
- 0–014.6%
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–29.2%
Recent form
FUS Rabat
Renaissance Berkane
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Star Sport Academy · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs CR Khemis Zemamra · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs UTS Rabat · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Moghreb Tetouan · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Difaa EL Jadida · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 74.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.