· Analysis updated 05:41 UTC
Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Cariari Pococi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Futbol Consultants Moravia and 0.96 for Cariari Pococi, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Futbol Consultants Moravia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
71.0% probability
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Futbol Consultants Moravia home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Cariari Pococi away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.9%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–111.0%
- 2–08.4%
Recent form
Futbol Consultants Moravia
- 2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Santa Ana · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Uruguay · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T01:30:00.000Z · A vs Cariari Pococi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z · H vs AD Carmelita · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Aserri FC · 1-0 (W)
Cariari Pococi
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Guadalupe FC · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-21T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Futbol Consultants Moravia · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · A vs CS Uruguay · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-12T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Aserri FC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-05T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Futbol Consultants Moravia · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-21T20:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 0-1 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2026-04-05T20:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 1-0 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2026-02-22T01:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 0-1 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2025-11-09T01:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 3-1 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2025-09-21T20:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 3-3 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2025-04-07T19:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 2-1 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2025-02-23T19:30:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 0-4 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2024-10-27T19:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 1-0 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2024-09-07T22:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 0-1 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
- 2024-03-25T20:00:00.000Z · Futbol Consultants Moravia 3-1 Cariari Pococi (Liga de Ascenso)
Liga de Ascenso table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aserri FC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 33 |
| 2 | ADR Jicaral | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Santa Ana | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Quepos Cambute | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Cariari Pococi | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Municipal Grecia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Guadalupe FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | AD Sarchí | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | AD Carmelita | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 11 | Futbol Consultants Moravia | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | CS Uruguay | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -17 | 9 |
| 13 | AD Cofutpa | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 14 | Santa Cruz FC | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.