Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · Matchweek 1220:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

CS UruguayLLLDD

· Analysis updated 17:06 UTC

Futbol Consultants Moravia vs CS Uruguay Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for Futbol Consultants Moravia and 0.77 for CS Uruguay, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Futbol Consultants Moravia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Futbol Consultants Moravia win

67.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.07 – 0.77

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Futbol Consultants Moravia home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • CS Uruguay away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Futbol Consultants Moravia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 20% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.07 goals for Futbol Consultants Moravia and 0.77 for CS Uruguay, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Futbol Consultants Moravia win68%
Draw20%
CS Uruguay win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 2–012.5%
  • 1–012.1%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 3–08.6%

Recent form

Futbol Consultants Moravia

  • 2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Santa Ana · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Uruguay · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T01:30:00.000Z · A vs Cariari Pococi · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z · H vs AD Carmelita · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Aserri FC · 1-0 (W)

CS Uruguay

  • 2026-10-10T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Ana · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-29T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Cariari Pococi · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T21:00:00.000Z · A vs AD Carmelita · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Aserri FC · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga de Ascenso table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Aserri FC24969-533
2Santa Ana13904827
3ADR Jicaral107301324
4Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC12552420
5Quepos Cambute11614619
6Cariari Pococi13544119
7Municipal Grecia11533218
8Guadalupe FC13535-218
9AD Sarchí11524317
10AD Carmelita12444616
11Futbol Consultants Moravia13517216
12CS Uruguay13238-179
13AD Cofutpa11218-97
14Santa Cruz FC11209-126

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Futbol Consultants Moravia win, at 67.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.