Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · Clausura - 1819:00

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Sunday, 12 April 2026

· Analysis updated 13:48 UTC

Futbol Consultants Moravia vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.54 expected goals for Futbol Consultants Moravia and 1.35 for Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Futbol Consultants Moravia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Futbol Consultants Moravia home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Futbol Consultants Moravia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 25% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.54 goals for Futbol Consultants Moravia and 1.35 for Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Futbol Consultants Moravia win42%
Draw25%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC win34%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.5%

Recent form

Futbol Consultants Moravia

  • 2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Santa Ana · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Uruguay · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T01:30:00.000Z · A vs Cariari Pococi · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z · H vs AD Carmelita · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Aserri FC · 1-0 (W)

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC

  • 2026-09-01T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Ana · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Aserri FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-18T01:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Uruguay · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-11T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Guadalupe FC · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-04-28T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter San Carlos · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga de Ascenso table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Aserri FC24969-533
2ADR Jicaral118301527
3Santa Ana13904827
4Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC12552420
5Quepos Cambute12615419
6Cariari Pococi13544119
7Municipal Grecia11533218
8Guadalupe FC13535-218
9AD Sarchí11524317
10AD Carmelita12444616
11Futbol Consultants Moravia13517216
12CS Uruguay13238-179
13AD Cofutpa11218-97
14Santa Cruz FC11209-126

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.