Egypt · Premier League · Relegation Group - 1217:00
Future FCWWWLW

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Saturday, 23 May 2026

Cairo International Stadium · Referee M. El Atabani · Analysis updated 06:33 UTC

Future FC vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Future FC and 0.85 for Ghazl El Mehalla, a combined total of 1.75. That distribution gives Future FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.90 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Future FC home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Ghazl El Mehalla away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Future FC win35%
Draw33%
Ghazl El Mehalla win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams to score34%

Correct score

  • 0–017.4%
  • 1–015.6%
  • 0–114.8%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 2–07.0%

Recent form

Future FC

  • 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Gouna FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Mokawloon · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrojet · 1-1 (D)

Ghazl El Mehalla

  • 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Enppi · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Future FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Pyramids FC · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Haras El Hodood · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Future FC · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · Future FC 2-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
  • 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · Future FC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
  • 2025-11-01T15:00:00.000Z · Future FC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
  • 2025-05-03T17:00:00.000Z · Future FC 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
  • 2025-02-06T14:00:00.000Z · Future FC 1-2 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
  • 2023-04-12T19:15:00.000Z · Future FC 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
  • 2022-12-19T15:00:00.000Z · Future FC 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
  • 2022-08-06T16:30:00.000Z · Future FC 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
  • 2022-07-07T19:30:00.000Z · Future FC 5-1 Ghazl El Mehalla (League Cup)
  • 2022-03-09T13:00:00.000Z · Future FC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC66001118
2Al Ahly6510816
3Zamalek SC6411513
4Future FC6411413
5Al Ittihad6411413
6Ceramica Cleopatra6402412
7National Bank of Egypt630309
8El Mokawloon622218
9Petrojet622208
10Masr6222-18
11Olympic El Qanah614107
12AL Masry6213-27
13Smouha SC6213-27
14El Geish6213-37
15Wadi Degla6132-16
16Asyut Petrol6123-35
17Enppi6114-44
18Abu Qair Semad6105-83
19El Gouna FC6024-42
20Ghazl El Mehalla6015-91

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 26%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.