Al-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium · Referee W. Nagy · Analysis updated 14:21 UTC
Future FC vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Future FC and 0.52 for Ghazl El Mehalla, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Future FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Future FC win
72.9% probability
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.52
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Future FC home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Ghazl El Mehalla away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–016.1%
- 1–016.0%
- 3–010.8%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–18.3%
Recent form
Future FC
- 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Gouna FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Mokawloon · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrojet · 1-1 (D)
Ghazl El Mehalla
- 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Enppi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Future FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Pyramids FC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Haras El Hodood · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Future FC · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · Future FC 2-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
- 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · Future FC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
- 2025-11-01T15:00:00.000Z · Future FC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
- 2025-05-03T17:00:00.000Z · Future FC 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
- 2025-02-06T14:00:00.000Z · Future FC 1-2 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
- 2023-04-12T19:15:00.000Z · Future FC 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
- 2022-12-19T15:00:00.000Z · Future FC 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
- 2022-08-06T16:30:00.000Z · Future FC 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
- 2022-07-07T19:30:00.000Z · Future FC 5-1 Ghazl El Mehalla (League Cup)
- 2022-03-09T13:00:00.000Z · Future FC 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Future FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | National Bank of Egypt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | El Mokawloon | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Petrojet | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Masr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | AL Masry | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Smouha SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | El Geish | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Asyut Petrol | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Enppi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Abu Qair Semad | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 19 | El Gouna FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Future FC win, at 72.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.