Hungary · NB III - Northeast · Northeast - 215:30
FüzesabonyDLDLW

1 – 0

Wednesday, 12 August 2026

· Analysis updated 21:26 UTC

Füzesabony vs Nyiregyhaza II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Füzesabony and 2.00 for Nyiregyhaza II, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Füzesabony the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

60.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Füzesabony home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Nyiregyhaza II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Füzesabony to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Füzesabony and 2.00 for Nyiregyhaza II, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Füzesabony win40%
Draw21%
Nyiregyhaza II win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–17.3%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–34.9%

Recent form

Füzesabony

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszaújváros · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ózd Sajóvölgye · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eger · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs DEAC · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 1-0 (W)

Nyiregyhaza II

  • 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Cigand SE · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ózd Sajóvölgye1311023133
2Cigand SE1310212532
3DEAC138231426
4Debrecen II138141025
5Gödöllő13715822
6Kisvárda II13562621
7Mátészalka13553620
8Diósgyőr II13544319
9Tiszaújváros13526-317
10Füzesabony13526-317
11Eger13526-1217
12Salgótarjáni BTC13409-1112
13Tiszafuredi VSE12318-1210
14Hajdúnánás12318-1810
15Tarpa133010-209
16Nyiregyhaza II131111-244

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.