FV Ravensburg vs Balingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for FV Ravensburg and 1.08 for Balingen, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives FV Ravensburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FV Ravensburg win

53.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FV Ravensburg home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Balingen away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FV Ravensburg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 24% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for FV Ravensburg and 1.08 for Balingen, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

FV Ravensburg win53%

Draw24%

Balingen win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–111.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.8%
2–09.1%
0–16.4%

Recent form

FV Ravensburg

2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Teningen · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs 1. FC Muhlhausen · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruhe II · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs CFR Pforzheim · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-09T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Balingen · 2-2 (D)

Balingen

2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Holzhausen · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruhe II · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Oberachern · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs CFR Pforzheim · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Backnang · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2025-03-28T18:00:00.000Z · FV Ravensburg 0-0 Balingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
2024-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · FV Ravensburg 1-3 Balingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oberachern	13	9	2	2	17	29
2	Backnang	13	8	4	1	17	28
3	FC 08 Villingen	13	8	2	3	8	26
4	Reutlingen	13	8	2	3	7	26
5	Bahlinger SC	13	6	5	2	5	23
6	Young Boys Reutlingen	13	6	4	3	9	22
7	FV Ravensburg	13	5	4	4	9	19
8	Karlsruhe II	12	5	4	3	1	19
9	1. FC Muhlhausen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
10	CFR Pforzheim	13	5	2	6	-3	17
11	FC Holzhausen	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Essingen	13	4	3	6	-5	15
13	TSV Singen	13	4	2	7	-8	14
14	Balingen	13	3	4	6	-3	13
15	Teningen	13	4	1	8	-11	13
16	FC Nöttingen	12	4	0	8	7	12
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	13	3	0	10	-22	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	13	2	0	11	-23	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FV Ravensburg win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.