Germany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · Baden-Württemberg - 413:30

13:30 UTC

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:20 UTC

FV Ravensburg vs Essingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for FV Ravensburg and 1.22 for Essingen, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives FV Ravensburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.

Model pick

FV Ravensburg or Draw

63.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FV Ravensburg win37%
Draw27%
Essingen win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 2–18.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FV Ravensburg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 27% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.23 goals for FV Ravensburg and 1.22 for Essingen, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

  • Model confidence

    FV Ravensburg or Draw is the headline pick at 64% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

FV Ravensburg

    Essingen

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Backnang220086
      2Reutlingen220036
      3Essingen211024
      4TSV Singen211014
      5Oberachern110033
      6FC 08 Villingen210113
      7Bahlinger SC303003
      8FC Nöttingen210103
      9Teningen2101-23
      10CFR Pforzheim202002
      11FV Ravensburg202002
      12FC Holzhausen101001
      13Young Boys Reutlingen101001
      14Karlsruhe II2011-31
      15Türkspor Neckarsulm1001-10
      16Normannia Gmünd2002-30
      17Balingen2002-40
      181. FC Muhlhausen1001-50

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.