Norway · 3. Division - Girone 3 · Matchweek 2313:00

0 – 2

Saturday, 10 October 2026

OsWWWDL

· Analysis updated 09:12 UTC

Fyllingsdalen vs Os Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Fyllingsdalen and 2.88 for Os, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Os the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Os win

64.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.55 – 2.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Fyllingsdalen home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Os away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Os to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 19% / 17% / 65% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.55 goals for Fyllingsdalen and 2.88 for Os, a combined 4.43 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Fyllingsdalen win19%
Draw17%
Os win65%

Double chance 1X

35%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

81%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals64%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 1–27.7%
  • 1–37.4%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 2–35.7%
  • 1–15.3%

Recent form

Fyllingsdalen

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Os · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stord · 1-2 (L)

Os

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gneist · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sogndal II · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Varegg · 2-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 3 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os2519154358
2Djerv2517533656
3Vard2514562447
4Fana2514291744
5Askøy2412751043
6Brann II2410771137
7Austevoll251078-737
8Førde259412-1131
9Sogndal II249312830
10Stord25799-1330
11Varegg257513-1026
12Åsane II245712-1622
13Gneist255317-3318
14Fyllingsdalen251321-596

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Os win, at 64.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.