Norway · 1. Division Women · Matchweek 1614:00

4 – 2

Friday, 4 September 2026

Odd WDWDLD

· Analysis updated 16:28 UTC

Fyllingsdalen W vs Odd W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.26 expected goals for Fyllingsdalen W and 2.01 for Odd W, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Odd W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Odd W win

54.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.26 – 2.01

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Fyllingsdalen W home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Odd W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Odd W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 24% / 22% / 55% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.26 goals for Fyllingsdalen W and 2.01 for Odd W, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Fyllingsdalen W win24%
Draw22%
Odd W win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–29.7%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–36.5%

Recent form

Fyllingsdalen W

  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking FK W · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 4-2 (W)

Odd W

  • 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking FK W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Start W8620920
2Viking FK W86111819
3Åsane W85301118
4TIL 2020 W85211417
5Arna-Bjørnar W8422414
6Bryne W8323-211
7Odd W8233-19
8Kolbotn W8224-18
9Grei W8215-27
10Klepp W8206-156
11Frigg Oslo FK W8107-173
12Fyllingsdalen W8107-183

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Odd W win, at 54.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.