· Analysis updated 14:25 UTC
Gabčíkovo vs Slovan Duslo Šaľa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.75 expected goals for Gabčíkovo and 2.00 for Slovan Duslo Šaľa, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives Gabčíkovo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gabčíkovo win
54.1% probability
Expected goals
2.75 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gabčíkovo home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Duslo Šaľa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gabčíkovo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 18% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.75 goals for Gabčíkovo and 2.00 for Slovan Duslo Šaľa, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.5%
- 2–26.5%
- 3–16.0%
- 3–26.0%
- 1–14.8%
Recent form
Gabčíkovo
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nové Zámky · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Veľké Ludince · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Púchov · 1-1 (D)
Slovan Duslo Šaľa
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rača · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nitra · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · A vs DAC II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Prievidza · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Častkovce · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nitra | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 31 |
| 2 | Dunajská Lužná | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Púchov | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Beluša | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Spartak Myjava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Gabčíkovo | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Baník Prievidza | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Nové Zámky | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | DAC II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Trenčín II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Komárno II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | MŠK Senec | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 | Častkovce | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Rača | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Veľké Ludince | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Slovan Duslo Šaľa | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gabčíkovo win, at 54.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.