Slovakia · 2. liga · Matchweek 913:30
GalantaDWWLW

2 – 1

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Mestsky futbalovy stadion Galanta · Analysis updated 10:16 UTC

Galanta vs Slovan Bratislava II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Galanta and 1.68 for Slovan Bratislava II, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Galanta home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slovan Bratislava II away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slovan Bratislava II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 37% / 23% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for Galanta and 1.68 for Slovan Bratislava II, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Galanta win37%
Draw23%
Slovan Bratislava II win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.1%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.3%

Recent form

Galanta

  • 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Žilina II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Považská Bystrica · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava · 1-2 (L)

Slovan Bratislava II

  • 2026-10-18T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Liptovský Mikuláš · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Zvolen · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Galanta · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · Galanta 2-1 Slovan Bratislava II (2. liga)
  • 2024-02-06T17:00:00.000Z · Galanta 1-2 Slovan Bratislava II (Friendlies Clubs)
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Šamorín1410221132
2Petržalka149321330
3Považská Bystrica14824426
4Pohronie14725423
5Galanta14725023
6Tatran Prešov14644222
7Žilina II13634321
8Inter Bratislava135531220
9Liptovský Mikuláš14545319
10Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom14545-119
11Slovan Bratislava II13445216
12Zlaté Moravce13346-213
13Malženice13337-512
14Humenné14338-1112
15MFK Bytča143011-229
16Lokomotíva Zvolen13139-136

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.