Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 2012:00
GaltabacksLLWLW

2 – 1

Saturday, 5 September 2026

DalstorpsWDWWL

· Analysis updated 17:56 UTC

Galtabacks vs Dalstorps Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Galtabacks and 1.48 for Dalstorps, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Dalstorps the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

69.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Galtabacks home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Dalstorps away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dalstorps to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 30% / 26% / 44% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.18 goals for Galtabacks and 1.48 for Dalstorps, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Galtabacks win30%
Draw26%
Dalstorps win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 0–27.7%

Recent form

Galtabacks

  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hestrafor · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lindome · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 3-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Västra Frölunda · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 0-2 (L)

Dalstorps

  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Norrby IF · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hestrafor · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Torslanda · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongahälla · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Västra Götaland table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter IS2417342354
2Dalstorps2413742146
3Jonsered241266342
4Hestrafor241257941
5Lindome241149637
6Västra Frölunda241077637
7Böljan24978434
8Qviding FIF2410410034
9Onsala248610-430
10Torslanda247710-328
11Kongahälla247611-1027
12Åstorp247512-1226
13Galtabacks245514-820
14Astrio242418-3510

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.