Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 2112:00

1 – 2

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Enskede WLWWLL

· Analysis updated 20:22 UTC

Gamla Upsala W vs Enskede W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Gamla Upsala W and 1.28 for Enskede W, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Gamla Upsala W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gamla Upsala W home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Enskede W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Gamla Upsala W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 25% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.58 goals for Gamla Upsala W and 1.28 for Enskede W, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Gamla Upsala W win44%
Draw25%
Enskede W win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 0–17.4%

Recent form

Gamla Upsala W

  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Enskede W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Alingsås W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby W · 0-5 (L)

Enskede W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trelleborg W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brommapojkarna W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2316613454
2KIF Örebro W2317243253
3Göteborg W2315623451
4Linköping W2313461043
5Umeå W2312561741
6Husqvarna W23959-232
7Trelleborg W23959-732
8Jitex W23779-728
9Örebro SK W237511-1326
10Enskede W237412-1025
11Alingsås W235711-1122
12Gamla Upsala W235513-1220
13Sandviken W233515-3714
14Häcken II W232219-288

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.