· Analysis updated 13:24 UTC
Gamle Oslo vs Lyn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Gamle Oslo and 1.49 for Lyn, a combined total of 3.91. That distribution gives Gamle Oslo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gamle Oslo win
58.1% probability
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gamle Oslo home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lyn away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gamle Oslo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 19% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for Gamle Oslo and 1.49 for Lyn, a combined 3.91 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 1–17.2%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–05.9%
Recent form
Gamle Oslo
- 2026-09-26T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Oslo · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Asker · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyn · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Heming · 2-1 (W)
Lyn
- 2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Haugesund · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Stromsgodset · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Bryne · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranheim · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamle Oslo · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gamle Oslo win, at 58.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.