· Analysis updated 13:41 UTC
Ganshoren vs Jette Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Ganshoren and 1.50 for Jette, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives Ganshoren the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ganshoren win
67.8% probability
Expected goals
3.00 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ganshoren home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Jette away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ganshoren to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 16% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for Ganshoren and 1.50 for Jette, a combined 4.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 3–17.5%
- 4–15.6%
- 2–25.6%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
Ganshoren
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Mouscronnois · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs RUS Binche · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 4-0 (W)
Jette
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ganshoren · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Entité Manageoise · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Verviers · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Flénu · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tilffois · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jette | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Braine | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ganshoren | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | AS Eupen II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | RUS Binche | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stade Verviers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Richelle United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 | Huy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Acren-Lessines | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Calamine | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ostiches | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ganshoren win, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.